So I had posted “MLB Preview… Sorta?” all the way back on March 24th before the season predicting which teams will go over or under their win totals according a number I believe that is given to each team by some Las Vegas betting line.
Currently I am on pace for only 14 correct predictions but do take a look at some of my “incorrect” picks so far in Cincinnati who is 1.1 games off the pace, Houston Astros who are 1.5 games off and Toronto who falls 3.9 games short. As for the close ones that I am getting correct right now are Philadelphia Phillies (0.25), Kansas City Royals (0.94) and Boston Red Sox (1.2). So technically I could be anywhere from 11 to 17 correct picks and certainly even higher if teams like the Mets and Brewers decide to make a little run.
The teams that I have looked really brilliant on are of course the Tampa Bay Rays (OVER +22.8), Seattle Mariners (UNDER -21.9), Cleveland Indians (UNDER -20.34), Minnesota Twins (OVER +16.9) and even Florida Marlins (OVER +16.8).
On the other hand, some teams that made me look down right awful are the San Diego Padres (OVER -21.9), Colorado Rockies (OVER -17.2), Chicago White Sox (UNDER +17.06) and Detroit Tigers (OVER -12.5).
Here is the table from the post at the start of the season:
Team | Prediction | Amount | On Pace For | |
Arizona | UNDER | 86.5 | 80.1 | RIGHT |
Atlanta | OVER | 86 | 76.7 | WRONG |
Baltimore | UNDER | 65 | 78.4 | WRONG |
Boston | OVER | 94 | 95.2 | RIGHT |
Chicago (N) | OVER | 87.5 | 97.2 | RIGHT |
Chicago (A) | UNDER | 76 | 93.1 | WRONG |
Cincinnati | UNDER | 76.5 | 77.6 | WRONG |
Cleveland | UNDER | 91 | 70.7 | RIGHT |
Colorado | OVER | 83 | 65.8 | WRONG |
Detroit | OVER | 93.5 | 81.0 | WRONG |
Florida | OVER | 68.5 | 85.3 | RIGHT |
Houston | UNDER | 73.5 | 75.0 | WRONG |
Kansas City | UNDER | 73.5 | 72.6 | RIGHT |
LA Angels | UNDER | 92 | 97.2 | WRONG |
LA Dodgers | OVER | 87.5 | 78.4 | WRONG |
Milwaukee | UNDER | 84 | 88.7 | WRONG |
Minnesota | OVER | 73.5 | 90.4 | RIGHT |
NY Mets | OVER | 92.5 | 87.0 | WRONG |
NY Yankees | UNDER | 94 | 85.3 | RIGHT |
Oakland | OVER | 74 | 87.0 | RIGHT |
Philadelphia | UNDER | 88 | 87.8 | RIGHT |
Pittsburgh | OVER | 68.5 | 75.8 | RIGHT |
San Diego | OVER | 85 | 63.1 | WRONG |
San Francisco | UNDER | 72 | 68.2 | RIGHT |
Seattle | UNDER | 85 | 63.1 | RIGHT |
St. Louis | UNDER | 77 | 89.4 | WRONG |
Tampa | OVER | 72 | 94.8 | RIGHT |
Texas | UNDER | 75 | 84.4 | WRONG |
Toronto | OVER | 84 | 80.1 | WRONG |
Washington | OVER | 71.5 | 60.8 | WRONG |